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Bryan's Friday Evening Forecast & Tropical Storm Karen Update: 10/4/13

We're tracking the potential of heavy rain as we get into the beginning of next week, but before that it will be a dry weekend. Meteorologist Bryan Schuerman has the details and the latest information on Tropical Storm Karen in his full forecast for Friday Evening October 4th, 2013.
From Meteorologist Bryan Schuerman
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(For more information on Tropical Storm Karen and her affects on the region, continue to scroll down the page, for the latest from the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida...)

Weather Synopsis:  As we continue with the dry and warm weather, looks like majority of the weekend will be dry as well. High pressure will continue to control the forecast through the weekend before a cold front approaches the area. As that combines with the Remnants of Tropical Storm Karen, we are looking at a good dose of rainfall.  (More on her effects on us in the tropical section...), and then with high pressure moving back into the area, we'll dry out as we get into the middle portions of next week.

Have a great weekend and see you on WHAG News at 7:00 & 11:00 PM on Friday!

--Meteorologist Bryan Schuerman

Your4State Short Term Forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with some patchy fog possible after midnight.  Low: 58-63.  Winds: Calm winds.

Tomorrow (Saturday): Partly sunny skies and continued warm and humid.  High: 83-88.  Winds: Light and variable.

Tomorrow Night: Partly cloudy skies and continued mild.  Low: 60-65.  Winds: Light south.

Your4State Extended Forecast:

Sunday: Partly sunny skies. We're dry for majority of the day before rain overspreads the area close to or after midnight.  High: 84.  Low: 61.

Monday: Cloudy skies with rain likely.  Some rain could be heavy at times.  High: 75.  Low: 53.

Tuesday: Partly sunny skies with the chance of a morning shower.  (We'll have to watch the models, because if this system slows down, we'll have to extend the chance of rain further into Tuesday...)  High: 70.  Low: 48.

Wednesday: Partly sunny skies and drying out.  High: 70.  Low: 49.
 
Thursday: Mostly sunny skies.  High: 72.  Low: 49.

Friday: Mostly sunny skies.  High: 71.  Low: 50.

National Hurricane Center's 5:00 PM Advisory - Tropical Storm Karen - Friday October 4th, 2013
National Hurricane Center's 5:00 PM Advisory - Tropical Storm Karen - Friday October 4th, 2013
The latest information on Tropical Storm Karen as of 2:00 PM Friday Afternoon, October 4th, 2013:

Location:
25.8 N 90.2 W - 240 Miles South-Southwest of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
Movement: North-Northwest at 9 MPH
Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 MPH

Hurricane Watches: Grand Isle, Louisiana to West of Destin, Florida

Tropical Storm Warnings: Morgan City, Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River

Tropical Storm Watches: Metropolitan New Orleans, Lake Maurepas, Lake Pontchartrain, Destin to Indian Pass, Florida

Forecast Notes: A turn to the north and a decrease in forward speed are expected by Early Saturday, then a turn to the Northeast on Sunday with an increase in forward speed.

Tropical Storm Force Winds extend outward up to 140 miles from the center of circulation. Little change in strength is expected during the next 24 hours, with some strengthening possible on Saturday Night and Sunday.

Local Effects: As the remnants of Tropical Storm Karen interacting with a cold front approaching the area late Sunday Night and Monday, rain will overspread the area. Some rain could be heavy at times on Monday with most of the area receiving at least 1" of rain to 1.25" of rain possible through early Tuesday Morning.  If this cold front slows down as a few of the models are showing, we'll have to extend rain in the forecast to more of Tuesday, and that would increase our rain totals across the area. The National Weather Service in Baltimore/Washington, D.C. has also indicated there is the potential for a few isolated tornadoes as the Remnants of Tropical Storm Karen move through the area, interacting with the cold front.
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